Jun
16

An might deem the of versus right now to be unacceptably high. And judging from emails I have received, so do some of my readers.

With the U.S. in a there’s an ever growing array of homes for sale at lower prices. Meanwhile, prices for supplies like steel and nails continue to increase, driven higher by demand from in countries like China and India. Rising are also pushing up transportation and production costs.

Just last week a house went on the market I would love to buy – at a price we could afford. I know this because my husband and I continue to obsessively (though separately and slightly furtively) scan local listings. Yet there is no going back now: The for our foundation is poured and framing will start at the end of next week. We are excited to see a year of design work take physical form. We know our house will be better for us because we have had the opportunity to help create it.

The key to continued for a new in the current is to think about the future. The country will eventually come out of its current . And when it does, the cost and the of will be much higher than now. Just look at what happened in the mid-1990s, when the rebounded from a slowdown, almost doubled and contractors didn’t return phone calls.

Even significantly higher will have a on lumber pricing, says Stuart J. , who analyzes the industry for Standard & Poor’s. Though lumber is transported by trucks, it also relies heavily on trains. And the effect of the decline in housing is larger than the increase in . Demand for forest is highly dependent on the industry, especially the home and remodeling.

have driven some materials sharply higher – those that require a lot of energy in production and transportation, says Bernie Markstein, a senior at the National Association of in Washington. Add to that a growth in world demand from projects in China and India, and there’s been acceleration in steel, nails, insulation, aluminum, asphalt, concrete, copper and brass fittings.

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